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tax credit

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I rarely watch the news, but earlier this week, I turned it on. Much to my dismay, I sat there listening to one of the news anchors talking about how bad the real estate market is and how much worse it will get when the tax credit stimulus is over at the end of next month!

I thought, “are you kidding?” First of all the real estate market (here in Hutchinson, MN) is so much better than it has been for the last couple of years, and the tax credit stimulus ended on April 30, 2010! (Anyone expecting to participate in the tax credit needed to be entered into a purchase agreement by 4/30/10.)

So, in a matter of a few minutes, I remembered why I don’t watch the news. The information they are giving isn’t always correct!

According to the Minneapolis Area Association of Realtors, home sales in the Twin Cities housing market took another dip as the hangover from the tax credit expiration continued. For the week ending May 22, there were 624 pending sales—a precipitous drop of 42.5 percent from a year ago.

The biggest drops in sales since the credit ended can be seen in the traditional seller market (i.e., anything that’s not a foreclosure or short sale) and in the middle price ranges from $150,000 to $350,000. Pending sales have dropped in those ranges from 1,085 the week the credit ended to 384 for the week ending May 22. In sum, it may be a difficult summer market for home sellers.

The good news is that new supply is also slowing, which means the market is already self-correcting to avoid a surge in unneeded inventory. New listings fell to 1,581 for the same reporting week, a decline of 15.8 percent from this time last year.

The Supply-Demand Ratio has been updated for June and shows a figure of 5.05, which means there are 5.05 homes for sale for each buyer in the month. That’s a 10.9 percent increase over the mark seen a year ago and is a result of the decline in buyer activity.

Here in Hutchinson, MN the market activity for May, 2010 was still pretty good. We’ll have to see if our housing market sees the same declines as reported for the Twin Cities market.

The expiration of the tax credit clearly motivated buyers to take action by April 30. Last week, there was a significant 31.2 percent jump in Pending Sales versus last year, bringing the total number of contracts written to 1,469. But for the first time this year the number of New Listings was down. A total of 1,803 of them entered the market, 11.5 percent lower than a year ago.

Some encouraging figures include a Days on Market count of 127, down 15.3 percent compared to last year, and Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale of 93.6 percent, up 4.0 percent over last year.

These statistics include all of the Regional Multiple Listing area not just Hutchinson, MN.

We expect buyer activity to continue over the coming weeks, although not with the same level of urgency due to the expired tax credits and a slight seasonal lull before we get into the heart of summer.

According to the Minneapolis Association of Realtors, the local housing market continues to mimic spring growth, as Twin Citizens emerge from their wintry cocoons just in time for the final days of the home buyer tax credit. For the week ending March 20, there were 2,277 new listings, up 28.8 percent from a year ago and marking the seventh consecutive week of strong year-over-year increases.

Pending sales dropped a bit from their high the previous week, but the 950 signed purchase agreements for the week were 10.2 percent ahead of where they were at this point last year.

Keep in mind that these numbers reflect the entire Regional Multiple Listing area. The housing market in Hutchinson, MN appears to be following the same trends.

As the tax credit’s April 30 deadline looms, expect a flurry of home sales activity. Time will tell what happens when the credit has expired, but the next few weeks should be extremely active.

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